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Analysis and early-warning alerts
Alerts, incident reports and assessments on Southern and East Africa. Many are open to all; some are reserved for registered readers and partners.
4 reports, newest first
False ISCAP alarm turns deadly in Niania, Ituri
Unrest linked to a false ISCAP (ADF) alarm left one civilian dead and three wounded in Niania trading centre, about 360 km from Bunia.
ISCAP abducts more than 300 civilians along the RN4 in Ituri
Coordinated ISCAP (ADF) attacks along the Mambasa–Komanda axis (RN4) in Irumu territory, Ituri, left several civilians dead and more than 300 abducted on 28–29 March 2026.
Islamic State Mozambique ambushes goods convoy on the N380
Islamic State Mozambique (IS-M) militants fired on a civilian goods convoy on the N380 near Xitaxi, between Macomia-sede and Oasse, wounding two civilians.
FARDC–UPDF forces dismantle ISCAP stronghold in Mambasa
A joint FARDC–UPDF operation dismantled an ISCAP stronghold at Matolo-Kaseni, near the Ituri River.
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