Continental & Global Developments

Provides analytical insights on security, conflict, and risk trends in regions beyond Southern Africa that hold strategic relevance for SADC Member States. The focus includes emerging threats, transnational dynamics, and governance, conflict, or development factors that may impact the prevention of terrorism, violent extremism, and the maintenance of regional stability.

Total Reports 11
U.S. Sanctions on the Rwanda Defense Force
On 2 March 2026, the U.S. Treasury’s Office of Foreign Assets Control (OFAC) imposed sanctions on the Rwanda Defence Force under Executive Order 13413, targeting…
Legacy War Ordnance in Lake Victoria Raises Modern Terrorism and Security Risks
The discovery of approximately twenty live explosive projectiles in Lake Victoria near Mbita Point raises broader security and governance concerns for the states surrounding the…
Discovery of Live Explosive Ordnance in Lake Victoria Raises Historical and Security Concerns
On 2 March 2026, approximately twenty live explosive projectiles were discovered in the waters of Lake Victoria near Litare Beach in Mbita Point, Kenya. The…
Tanzanians terrorists detained in Puntland
A total of at least twelve Tanzanians have been detained or killed for involvement in Al–Shabaab and Islamic State terrorist ranks between December 2024 and…
U.S. Airstrikes in Al-Miskaad
On 16-17 February 2026, Islamic State–linked terrorists were detained during ongoing counterinsurgency operations in the Al-Miskaad mountain range of Puntland, northeastern Somalia. Puntland security forces,…
Kajiado County Counterterrorism operation
The arrests in Kajiado County illustrate both the operational persistence of Al-Shabaab and the analytical complexity of interpreting disrupted plots. The seizure of five AK-47…
Kenyan Security Agencies Foil at Kajiado County a Al-Shabaab Plot Targeting Nairobi During Ramadan
Kenyan security agencies have disrupted a planned mass-casualty attack in Nairobi allegedly orchestrated by operatives linked to Al-Shabaab. The plot was reportedly timed to coincide…
Analysis and Prognosis: U.S. Designation of Muslim Brotherhood Branches
On 13 January 2026, the U.S. Department of the Treasury’s Office of Foreign Assets Control (OFAChttps://home.treasury.gov/news/press-releases/sb0357), in coordination with the Department of State, designated the…
U.S. Designates Muslim Brotherhood Branches Under Counterterrorism Authorities
On 13 January 2026, the U.S. Department of the Treasury’s Office of Foreign Assets Control (OFAC), in coordination with the Department of State, designated the…
Strategic Analysis of ISIS Al-Naba Issue 297
Islamic State of the Central Africa Province (ISCAP)  The referenced edition of Al-Naba represents a structured propaganda and operational signaling product from the Islamic State…